Arctic waters have historically been relatively inaccessible for marine transport. Lately, climate change has made more of this region ice-free in the summer season. This has reduced the difficulty of marine transport in Arctic waters. Further, exploration and development of natural resources is increasing in Arctic regions, as is destinational shipping. The unique risk factors of this region, such as extremely low temperature, ice conditions and drifting icebergs, continue to pose threats to transportation. Potential impacts associated with marine transportation accidents warrant contingency plans that recognize that preventative measures may fail. To plan effectively, a transportation accident risk assessment model for Arctic waters is helpful. There is limited work on the development of such models. A new cause-consequences based risk assessment model is proposed here. The model estimates the probability of a transportation accident and also the related consequences during navigation in Arctic waters. To illustrate the application of the methodology, it is applied to a case of an oil-tanker collision on the Northern Sea Route.
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ASME 2014 33rd International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering
June 8–13, 2014
San Francisco, California, USA
Conference Sponsors:
- Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering Division
ISBN:
978-0-7918-4556-1
PROCEEDINGS PAPER
Transportation Risk Analysis Framework for Arctic Waters
Faisal Khan,
Faisal Khan
Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, NL, Canada
University of Tasmania, Launceston, TAS, Australia
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Ming Yang,
Ming Yang
Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, NL, Canada
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Brian Veitch,
Brian Veitch
Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, NL, Canada
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Soren Ehlers,
Soren Ehlers
Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
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Shuhong Chai
Shuhong Chai
University of Tasmania, Launceston, TAS, Australia
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Faisal Khan
Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, NL, Canada
University of Tasmania, Launceston, TAS, Australia
Ming Yang
Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, NL, Canada
Brian Veitch
Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John’s, NL, Canada
Soren Ehlers
Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
Shuhong Chai
University of Tasmania, Launceston, TAS, Australia
Paper No:
OMAE2014-23421, V010T07A018; 10 pages
Published Online:
October 1, 2014
Citation
Khan, F, Yang, M, Veitch, B, Ehlers, S, & Chai, S. "Transportation Risk Analysis Framework for Arctic Waters." Proceedings of the ASME 2014 33rd International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering. Volume 10: Polar and Arctic Science and Technology. San Francisco, California, USA. June 8–13, 2014. V010T07A018. ASME. https://doi.org/10.1115/OMAE2014-23421
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